Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001719 0.001834 0.001953 0.002086 0.002230 0.002381 0.002553
2025-01-05 0.001536 0.001696 0.001868 0.002069 0.002297 0.002547 0.002845
2025-01-12 0.001393 0.001578 0.001783 0.002029 0.002319 0.002649 0.003057
2025-01-19 0.001295 0.001497 0.001728 0.002013 0.002356 0.002760 0.003276
2025-01-26 0.001182 0.001389 0.001630 0.001934 0.002309 0.002762 0.003356
2025-02-02 0.001152 0.001376 0.001643 0.001986 0.002420 0.002957 0.003681
2025-02-09 0.001119 0.001356 0.001643 0.002019 0.002507 0.003124 0.003977
2025-02-16 0.001113 0.001368 0.001682 0.002103 0.002660 0.003381 0.004405
2025-02-23 0.001071 0.001332 0.001659 0.002103 0.002701 0.003492 0.004639
2025-03-02 0.001007 0.001265 0.001591 0.002041 0.002655 0.003482 0.004703
2025-03-09 0.000957 0.001213 0.001542 0.002000 0.002635 0.003503 0.004811
2025-03-16 0.000926 0.001185 0.001521 0.001996 0.002665 0.003594 0.005021
2025-03-23 0.000884 0.001143 0.001485 0.001975 0.002677 0.003671 0.005234
2025-03-30 0.000847 0.001107 0.001454 0.001960 0.002698 0.003764 0.005477
2025-04-06 0.000805 0.001062 0.001410 0.001923 0.002684 0.003803 0.005639
2025-04-13 0.000773 0.001030 0.001381 0.001908 0.002699 0.003885 0.005874
2025-04-20 0.000725 0.000974 0.001316 0.001834 0.002623 0.003822 0.005869
2025-04-27 0.000719 0.000975 0.001332 0.001882 0.002735 0.004057 0.006370
2025-05-04 0.000707 0.000969 0.001338 0.001914 0.002822 0.004257 0.006826
2025-05-11 0.000710 0.000983 0.001374 0.001993 0.002987 0.004593 0.007545
2025-05-18 0.000691 0.000964 0.001359 0.001992 0.003024 0.004718 0.007899
2025-05-25 0.000657 0.000923 0.001309 0.001934 0.002963 0.004675 0.007938
2025-06-01 0.000631 0.000891 0.001272 0.001896 0.002933 0.004682 0.008070